Simay’s Dispatch

The Dispatch

Markets Snapshot · KEY as of 10:52am pt
S&P 500
7,580.07
▼ -1.82%
NASDAQ
25,436
▼ -2.86%
USD/TRY
49.95
▲ +0.22%
BTC
$77,574
▼ -0.26%
Takeaway: Both US indices lower: S&P -1.82%, Nasdaq -2.86%.
01

AI & Tech


← Drag to explore →
TechCrunch
Ai

Nvidia in talks to guarantee Nscale data center debt

Nvidia is reportedly discussing guaranteeing billions in debt financing for Nscale's planned Anthropic data center in West Virginia, a residual value guarantee under which Nvidia would step in, temporarily take over the facility and help find a new buyer and tenant if Nscale defaulted on construction payments, according to The Information. The arrangement would extend the chipmaker's support beyond its usual coverage of leases and chip purchases, as neocloud providers face investor pressure.

KEY   $44.6B Anthropic contract for first building · 460MW first building · second deal discussed at roughly $45B · Nscale IPO valuation up to $35B · ~25,000 AI chips running in August vs nearly 500,000 planned · ~$170B Nvidia investments and credit support to neoclouds · $1B convertible financing to Nscale in September · CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN shares each down more than 30% in October
TechCrunchRead →
TechCrunch
Ai

OpenAI reportedly cuts funding target to $20 billion

OpenAI has lowered its funding target to $20 billion, with a first close expected to be even lower, according to the Financial Times, which said the round will be led by a group of investors from the United Arab Emirates. The Wall Street Journal reported the company has secured $11 billion so far and that fundraising met a "tepid" response from some large investors.

KEY   target cut to $20B from a reported $30B · valuations previously reported at $1.4T, then $1.25T · $11B secured so far
TechCrunchRead →
TechCrunch
Ai

Blackstone expects junk rating for Anthropic after IPO

Blackstone told investors it now expects Anthropic to receive a high "junk" credit rating following its IPO, in the double B range, reversing its earlier position that the company would reach investment grade before 2027, according to a Financial Times report. Anthropic and Blackstone both declined to comment; a junk rating would make it more difficult and costlier for the company to fund its compute spending.

KEY   anchor investor in a $63B chip financing deal · double B expected, top tier of speculative grade · prior forecast was investment grade before 2027
TechCrunchRead →
Ars Technica
Ai

DoorDash CEO says AI agent orders remain minimal

On a third-quarter earnings call, DoorDash CEO Tony Xu said third-party AI agents have generated several hundred orders in total since they began running, which he called a very low use case against the roughly 1 billion orders the platform handled in the quarter. Xu said agents may suit long consideration purchases, while simple tasks like ordering food tend to come directly to DoorDash; the company's MCP connector launched less than a month ago and is open only to a small number of early beta partners.

KEY   several hundred agent orders · just shy of 1 billion total orders in Q3 2026 · Ask DoorDash baskets built 5x faster · nearly 50% higher basket value · about 60% more unique items · nearly half of orders to untried local spots · more than half of Pizza Hut orders now online
Ars TechnicaRead →
Ars Technica
Ai

FDA moves to withdraw vasculitis drug over trial data

The FDA issued a letter in April proposing that Tavneos be withdrawn from the US market, citing reports of serious and sometimes fatal liver injury and arguing the drug now lacks substantial evidence that it works, after an investor lawsuit uncovered what the agency believes is evidence that ChemoCentryx employees manipulated data in the pivotal trial. Amgen, which acquired ChemoCentryx a year after approval, has said the totality of the evidence supports continued availability, and some patients and academic experts also consider it an important option.

KEY   approved October 7, 2021 · $220,000 per year, according to Drugs.com · nearly half a billion dollars in FY2025 sales · 104-page Amgen submission in July · proposed $69M settlement, hearing expected October 29 · NEJM paper retracted this summer · withdrawn in the EU, UK to follow
Ars TechnicaRead →
The Verge
Ai

Building a DIY alternative to Meta's AI pendant

A Verge writer bought a $50 touchscreen computer pendant from China, the Waveshare ESP32-S3 1.75C, which Meta itself suggests as a starting point for building a "Muse Gadget" that connects to its Muse AI cloud using open-source code and tokens. Meta's own build was limited — slow responses, no spoken replies, a single avatar and no smart home discovery — so the writer used Claude Code to add a conversation history page, an ElevenLabs voice, a remote camera shutter, more avatars and a Tamagotchi-style minigame.

KEY   $50 device · 1.75-inch touchscreen · Muse Charm has cameras and 5G cellular radio · one Jolly avatar in Meta's build · four levels of hunger, boredom and dirt added
The VergeRead →
02

Markets & M&A


← Drag to explore →
Fortune
Markets

Wall Street pushes back on AI capital spending

OpenAI cut the target on its latest fundraising round and its expected valuation after a week of tech-stock selling, while rival Anthropic filed an S-1 ahead of an IPO expected next month showing rising revenue and positive first-half cash flow, according to the Financial Times and the filing. S&P Global cut its outlook on Meta to negative from stable, citing negative cash flow and uncertainty around capex plans, and said Meta's ability to monetize its AI investments is more limited than peers'; a Meta spokesperson said the company disagrees with the assessment.

KEY   OpenAI round $20B, cut from $30B · valuation $1.25T, cut from $1.4T · Alphabet fell about 12%, worst day on record · Meta held at AA-, outlook negative · leverage could top 1.0x by 2027 vs about 0.1x in 2025 · S&P sees Meta capex $140B this year, topping $225B in 2027, $252B in 2028 · free operating cash flow -$22B this year, -$71B 2027, -$39B 2028 · SpaceX closed $40B debt · Meta plans $95B equity raise · Microsoft raised $25B in bonds
FortuneRead →
CNBC
Markets

Binance says 90% of hack losses now covered

Binance said Saturday it has covered up to 90% of the roughly $6.3 billion in tokens taken from its hot wallets in a theft announced Thursday, drawing on its SAFU fund, part of its futures insurance fund and corporate treasury, and said it will keep buying the remaining assets until all tokens are fully backed. The exchange said its next milestone is resuming withdrawals by Sunday subject to security checks; it is still unclear how the attack happened, and TRM Labs pointed to North Korean hackers as potential culprits, citing features matching earlier linked heists.

KEY   about $6.3B in tokens stolen · up to 90% covered · outstanding 10% in tokens outside the top 10 · 10 tokens said to be 100% backed: BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB, SOL, USDC, XRP, USD1, RLUSD, ZEC · withdrawals targeted for Sunday · comparisons cited: Bybit hack, KelpDAO hack April 2026
CNBCRead →
CNBC
Markets

Crypto groups commit over $200 million to midterms

Crypto-tied organizations have contributed more than $200 million this cycle, outpacing online betting and data center groups in federal corporate political spending according to Public Citizen, with Fairshake and affiliated super PACs backing 33 House candidates and putting at least $1 million each behind six incumbents. The push follows the Clarity Act stalling in the Senate in September after Democrats argued it did too little to stop top officials profiting from crypto ventures, and comes as voters focus elsewhere — Rep. Steven Horsford, one of the Democrats receiving over $1 million, said the overwhelming issue right now is the affordability crisis.

KEY   more than $200M from crypto-tied groups this cycle · $250M spent by super PACs in 2024 · 33 House candidates: 19 Republicans, 14 Democrats · $1M baseline to six incumbents · Coinbase gave $79M to federal races in 2024 (OpenSecrets) and $25M to Fairshake in 2025 · $1M personal gift from Brian Armstrong in 2023 · Gallup: record 89% say government corruption widespread · 20% rate economy excellent or good, down from 27% in July
CNBCRead →
CNBC
Markets

Late-forming super PACs spend $637 million on midterms

Twenty-two super PACs that registered in the final 10 weeks before Election Day have each spent at least $1 million on congressional races, reporting roughly $637 million in independent expenditures by Oct. 29, according to a CNBC analysis of FEC filings. Large expenditures must be disclosed within 24 or 48 hours but donors are reported less often, and both parties are using the tactic; Northwestern law professor Michael Kang said the reason is almost entirely to avoid disclosure, even if temporarily, while the Campaign Legal Center's Saurav Ghosh said it is happening more because it works.

KEY   22 PACs, each $1M+ · about $637M by Oct. 29 · roughly one-sixth of all House and Senate independent spending this cycle · more than 22% of independent expenditures in CNBC's 2026 window, up from under 2% · Republican-linked PACs spent about twice Democratic-linked ones · 18 of 22 began spending within 30 days of launching · 2022: five groups, about $18M · 2018: three groups, about $12M · under $50M combined in 2020 and 2024 · Our Heritage Matters registered Oct. 15, spent about $1.2M across 10 races by Oct. 29, donors due Dec. 3
CNBCRead →
03

US & Turkey


← Drag to explore →
NPR
United States

Justice Department seeks to segregate Alaska ballots before Senate vote

The Justice Department asked a judge to order Alaska officials to preserve and segregate ballots ranking retired teacher Dan J. Sullivan, saying it wants to investigate whether such rankings resulted from voter confusion with Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan. The U.S. attorney for Alaska, Michael Heyman, said the investigation has run for several months and that reports linking Mary Peltola's campaign to recruiting the second Sullivan prompted what he called a significant surge of law enforcement assets to the state; Peltola and the DSCC deny involvement.

KEY   Tuesday ranked choice general election · Dan Sullivan serving second term · 9th Circuit rejected similar California request over about 20,000 people
NPRRead →
BBC News
United States

Peltola denies knowing of alleged two-Sullivans ballot scheme

Mary Peltola told voters she knew nothing about any candidate on the Alaska Senate ballot other than herself and the incumbent, and said she is not interested in tricking voters, after The New York Times reported that people connected to her campaign and senior DSCC aides tried to recruit retired teacher Dan J Sullivan as a spoiler. The Justice Department has opened parallel civil and criminal investigations and, according to CBS News, begun issuing subpoenas; Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy ordered a separate state inquiry, while attorney Scott Kendall told the BBC he was sceptical the described conduct broke the law.

KEY   2 candidates named Dan Sullivan · NYT cited text messages and 12 people interviewed · judge asked to rule before Monday
BBC NewsRead →
NPR
United States

NPR correspondents on whether 2026 midterm polls can be trusted

NPR senior political editor Domenico Montanaro told listeners that national horse-race polls have been fairly accurate while slightly underestimating Republican turnout, and that state-level surveys this cycle have included junk polls and a couple of fake ones. He argued that margins of error make polls a fuzzy range rather than a precise number, and that the decline of local journalism explains weaker state polling.

KEY   Margin of error of +/- 3 to 4 points equals a range of 6 to 8 points · campaigns and corporations spend millions on polling
NPRRead →
BBC News
United States

Candidates use clothing as campaign messaging in midterms

Stylists and commentators told the BBC that congressional candidates are using personal style to signal authenticity, with stylist Joe Zee saying politicians dress both to look capable of office and connected to voters. Washington Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez favours work jackets and flannel, Alaska's Mary Peltola wears rugged outdoor gear echoing her fishing-boat past, and Iowa Republican Ashley Hinson has worn denim, bandanas and American-flag pumps.

KEY   Gluesenkamp Perez captured a Republican-held seat in 2022 · Peltola wore Yup'ik boots at her 2022 swearing-in · Hinson wore flag heels at a June Iowa primary party
BBC NewsRead →
04

Sports Schedule


Upcoming fixtures, all in California time.

← Drag to explore →
Serie A
AC Milan vs Internazionale
Saturday, Oct 31 · 12:45 PM PDT  (10:45 PM Istanbul)
Serie A
Premier League
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Sunday, Nov 1 · 8:30 AM PST  (7:30 PM Istanbul)
Premier League
Serie A
Juventus vs Napoli
Sunday, Nov 1 · 11:45 AM PST  (10:45 PM Istanbul)
Serie A
Premier League
Newcastle United vs Everton
Monday, Nov 2 · 12:00 PM PST  (11:00 PM Istanbul)
Premier League
Champions League
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart
Tuesday, Nov 3 · 9:45 AM PST  (8:45 PM Istanbul)
Champions League
One of hers
Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
Tuesday, Nov 3 · 9:45 AM PST  (8:45 PM Istanbul)
Champions League
Champions League
Fenerbahce vs Liverpool
Wednesday, Nov 4 · 9:45 AM PST  (8:45 PM Istanbul)
Champions League
One of hers
Champions League
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
Wednesday, Nov 4 · 9:45 AM PST  (8:45 PM Istanbul)
Champions League
Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio
Sunday, Nov 8 · 3:30 AM PST  (2:30 PM Istanbul)
Serie A
Premier League
Manchester United vs Aston Villa
Sunday, Nov 8 · 8:30 AM PST  (7:30 PM Istanbul)
Premier League